TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082428
Played Sep 6Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210511711811––
Milan Klement
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Klement to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Milan Klement at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 10–14 Milan Klement Petr Saleny has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Klement
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-14 in 24
Klement
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saleny 1689 vs Klement 1607
Saleny
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saleny 20% vs Klement 80%
Klement
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saleny 50% vs Klement 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Saleny -3 · Klement +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 2.00 / Klement 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Klement)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082428
Saleny2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 28 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Klement1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 114 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it87% 60 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it72% 87 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaleny6wins
AwayKlement4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSaleny leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSaleny100%4 of 4
AwayKlement66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny4Klement6n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S2Saleny7Klement3n = 10Saleny took 7 of 10
S3Saleny4Klement6n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S4Saleny5Klement2n = 7Saleny took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalenyKlementS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.834.5+0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 414 vs 453 / 87950.2%51.5%208 / 414 vs 453 / 879Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalenySaleny 2.00/Klement 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 5 · 07:30P. Saleny—4790M. Klement—1111113
WJul 2 · 06:30P. Saleny—11113113M. Klement—711181
WMay 11 · 17:30P. Saleny—91111113M. Klement—119251
LMay 11 · 16:00P. Saleny—511551M. Klement—11811113
WApr 23 · 19:00P. Saleny—1111128113M. Klement—59141172
LApr 9 · 19:30P. Saleny—2190M. Klement—1111113
WApr 4 · 08:00P. Saleny—1211113M. Klement—10890
WMar 6 · 09:58P. Saleny—51111113M. Klement—117831
WMar 6 · 08:30P. Saleny—11118123M. Klement—9611101
LFeb 27 · 08:30P. Saleny—89111162M. Klement—111176113
P. Saleny10
LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040LSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102WSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452WSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872LSep 4 · 11:00P. Saleny2.2061151192R. Wagner1.61118117113
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner1.7351411113M. Klement2.001112971LSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141WSep 3 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.20101161192M. Klement1.61127119113
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