TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064558
Played Sep 3Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012117611119911
Milan Klement
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Kasnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Sebastian Kasnik at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 21–29 Milan Klement Sebastian Kasnik has won 21 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Klement
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-29 in 50
Klement
Correct
gap of 8 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasnik 1677 vs Klement 1571
Kasnik
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasnik 20% vs Klement 40%
Klement
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasnik 40% vs Klement 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasnik -3 · Klement -1
Kasnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.20 / Klement 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Klement)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13064558
Kasnik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 122 of 300
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 90
Klement1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 113 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it87% 61 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it72% 86 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasnik3wins
AwayKlement7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKlement leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik50%2 of 4
AwayKlement83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik4Klement6n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S2Kasnik5Klement5n = 10split evenly
S3Kasnik5Klement5n = 10split evenly
S4Kasnik1Klement7n = 8Klement took 7 of 8
S5Kasnik2Klement3n = 5Klement took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasnikKlementKasnik − KlementBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.844.2−6.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 987 vs 449 / 87447.8%51.4%472 / 987 vs 449 / 874Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementKasnik 2.20/Klement 1.61
Hit
What we said
55.3%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 07:00S. Kasnik—11117552M. Klement—991111113
LAug 24 · 08:00S. Kasnik—7520M. Klement—1111113
LAug 20 · 10:00S. Kasnik—841121M. Klement—11118113
LJun 29 · 10:30S. Kasnik—81012121M. Klement—111210143
WJun 3 · 11:30S. Kasnik—151178113M. Klement—138111182
WMay 29 · 02:58S. Kasnik—11116113M. Klement—791161
LMay 29 · 24:30S. Kasnik—115111192M. Klement—911713113
LMay 26 · 22:00S. Kasnik—101112952M. Klement—1281011113
WMay 22 · 01:30S. Kasnik—611118173M. Klement—114911152
LMay 19 · 18:00S. Kasnik—9830M. Klement—1111113
S. Kasnik10
LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123LSep 4 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.25117981R. Wagner1.5781111113LSep 4 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.75111051322P. Saleny1.405121111113
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner1.7351411113M. Klement2.001112971LSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141
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