TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081897
Played Sep 6Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711511118119911
Milan Klement
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 57.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 2–2 Milan Klement Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1723 vs Klement 1657
Wagner
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 60% vs Klement 40%
Wagner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 70% vs Klement 40%
Wagner
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner -1 · Klement +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.53 / Klement 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Wagner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081897
Wagner1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 52 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Klement2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 68 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWagner2wins
AwayKlement2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagnern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKlement66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner1Klement3n = 4Klement took 3 of 4
S2Wagner2Klement2n = 4split evenly
S3Wagner4Klement0n = 4Wagner took 4 of 4
S4Wagner2Klement1n = 3Wagner took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWagnerKlementW − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match37.540.2−2.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 151 vs 455 / 88155.6%51.7%84 / 151 vs 455 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.53/Klement 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner—75111192M. Klement—111189113
WSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner—51411113M. Klement—1112971
WAug 23 · 16:00M. Wagner—1113113M. Klement—81190
LAug 21 · 16:30M. Wagner—1041251M. Klement—121110113
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:00M. Sychra2.00711661M. Wagner1.7311811113
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner1.7351411113M. Klement2.001112971LSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141WSep 3 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.20101161192M. Klement1.61127119113
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