TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065189
Played Sep 4Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118119––––
Milan Klement
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Martin Sychra at 59.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 30–26 Milan Klement Milan Klement has won 26 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-26 in 56
Sychra
Correct
gap of 4 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1702 vs Klement 1554
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 40% vs Klement 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 60% vs Klement 40%
Sychra
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -3 · Klement +1
Sychra
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sychra) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.53 / Klement 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sychra)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065189
Sychra1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 253 of 422
Up 2–0, closes it93% 113 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it80% 175 of 218
Klement2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 69 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra7wins
AwayKlement3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra100%7 of 7
AwayKlement100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra7Klement3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S2Sychra8Klement2n = 10Sychra took 8 of 10
S3Sychra7Klement3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S4Sychra1Klement3n = 4Klement took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraKlementS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.231.5+3.7per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1517 vs 450 / 87652.9%51.4%803 / 1517 vs 450 / 876Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.53/Klement 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra—1111113M. Klement—8890
WSep 2 · 03:00M. Sychra—1111123M. Klement—66100
WSep 2 · 02:00M. Sychra—111149113M. Klement—78111162
WAug 26 · 06:30M. Sychra—1111113M. Klement—5740
LAug 24 · 23:30M. Sychra—31211822M. Klement—1110811113
LAug 10 · 03:30M. Sychra—96100M. Klement—1111123
LAug 9 · 23:30M. Sychra—1111481M. Klement—13811113
WAug 7 · 07:30M. Sychra—1111113M. Klement—9790
WJul 17 · 09:30M. Sychra—11914113M. Klement—8111241
WJul 17 · 06:30M. Sychra—1111113M. Klement—7770
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner1.7351411113M. Klement2.001112971LSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141WSep 3 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.20101161192M. Klement1.61127119113
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