TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065197
Played Sep 4Finished
Milan Klement
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111191311611115
Tomas Franek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Franek to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Tomas Franek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 97 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Franek at 57.3%
97 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 3–2 Tomas Franek Tomas Franek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:34What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Franek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1550 vs Franek 1645
Franek
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 20% vs Franek 40%
Franek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 30% vs Franek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement -3 · Franek +2
Klement
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Franek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Franek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 2.20 / Franek 1.61
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Franek)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065197
Klement2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 69 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Franek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 19 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it65% 13 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKlement3wins
AwayFranek2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKlement leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement50%2 of 4
AwayFranekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement4Franek1n = 5Klement took 4 of 5
S2Klement2Franek3n = 5Franek took 3 of 5
S3Klement2Franek3n = 5Franek took 3 of 5
S4Klement2Franek3n = 5Franek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKlementFranekK − FBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match40.438.8+1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementFranekBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 874 vs 82 / 16551.4%49.7%449 / 874 vs 82 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FranekKlement 2.20/Franek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Franek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 1 · 23:00M. Klement—119781T. Franek—81111113
WMar 12 · 02:00M. Klement—711118113T. Franek—11761172
WFeb 26 · 02:30M. Klement—11118113T. Franek—891171
LFeb 19 · 01:00M. Klement—1187101T. Franek—71111123
WJan 9 · 03:30M. Klement—11812113T. Franek—5111091
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner1.7351411113M. Klement2.001112971LSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141WSep 3 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.20101161192M. Klement1.61127119113
T. Franek10
LSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 3 · 23:30M. Wagner1.67781161T. Franek2.1011118113WSep 3 · 22:30T. Franek1.911111113M. Sychra1.809990LSep 2 · 02:30T. Franek2.10761191V. Vejvoda1.6711113113LSep 2 · 01:30S. Kasnik1.4491411123T. Franek2.6311126101LSep 2 · 24:00T. Franek1.67591191M. Sychra2.1011113113WSep 1 · 23:00M. Klement2.10119781T. Franek1.6781111113LAug 14 · 02:00T. Franek2.25113471R. Urbaniec1.5771111113LAug 14 · 01:00T. Franek2.00511125102M. Huk1.731181011123
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