TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052594
Played Sep 1Finished
Milan Klement
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911711811––
Tomas Franek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Franek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Tomas Franek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Franek at 55.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 3–1 Tomas Franek Tomas Franek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Franek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Klement
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1594 vs Franek 1625
Franek
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 40% vs Franek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 20% vs Franek 40%
Franek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement -1 · Franek -3
Franek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Franek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Franek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 2.10 / Franek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Franek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052594
Klement2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Franek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 18 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it65% 13 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKlement3wins
AwayFranek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKlement leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement66.7%2 of 3
AwayFranekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement3Franek1n = 4Klement took 3 of 4
S2Klement2Franek2n = 4split evenly
S3Klement2Franek2n = 4split evenly
S4Klement2Franek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKlementFranekK − FBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.838.2+3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementFranekBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 872 vs 79 / 15951.4%49.7%448 / 872 vs 79 / 159Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FranekKlement 2.10/Franek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Franek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Franek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMar 12 · 02:00M. Klement—711118113T. Franek—11761172
WFeb 26 · 02:30M. Klement—11118113T. Franek—891171
LFeb 19 · 01:00M. Klement—1187101T. Franek—71111123
WJan 9 · 03:30M. Klement—11812113T. Franek—5111091
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner1.7351411113M. Klement2.001112971LSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141
T. Franek10
LSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113LSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152WSep 3 · 23:30M. Wagner1.67781161T. Franek2.1011118113WSep 3 · 22:30T. Franek1.911111113M. Sychra1.809990LSep 2 · 02:30T. Franek2.10761191V. Vejvoda1.6711113113LSep 2 · 01:30S. Kasnik1.4491411123T. Franek2.6311126101LSep 2 · 24:00T. Franek1.67591191M. Sychra2.1011113113LAug 14 · 02:00T. Franek2.25113471R. Urbaniec1.5771111113LAug 14 · 01:00T. Franek2.00511125102M. Huk1.731181011123
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