TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065079
Played Sep 3Finished
Milan Klement
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811911117511––
Jan Simecek
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeJan Simecek to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Jan Simecek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jan Simecek at 68.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 0–4 Jan Simecek Milan Klement has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Simecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Simecek
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1559 vs Simecek 1629
Simecek
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 40% vs Simecek 60%
Simecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 30% vs Simecek 50%
Simecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement -2 · Simecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Simecek) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 3.00 / Simecek 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Simecek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065079
Klement3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 69 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Simecek1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 32 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKlement0wins
AwaySimecek4wins
Simecek leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlementn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySimecek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement0Simecek4n = 4Simecek took 4 of 4
S2Klement0Simecek4n = 4Simecek took 4 of 4
S3Klement3Simecek1n = 4Klement took 3 of 4
S4Klement0Simecek3n = 3Simecek took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKlementSimecekK − SBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match28.539.0−10.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 874 vs 104 / 20951.4%49.8%449 / 874 vs 104 / 209Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekKlement 3.00/Simecek 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement—891151J. Simecek—11117113
LMar 19 · 13:59M. Klement—491371J. Simecek—111111113
LMar 19 · 11:00M. Klement—8450J. Simecek—1111113
LFeb 21 · 13:00M. Klement—661181J. Simecek—11116113
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner1.7351411113M. Klement2.001112971LSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141WSep 3 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.20101161192M. Klement1.61127119113
J. Simecek10
WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091WSep 3 · 14:30S. Kasnik2.258970J. Simecek1.571111113LAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 01:30J. Simecek2.20412912132J. Ruzicka1.6111101110153
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