TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13072502
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Simecek
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711411––––
Adam Brazda
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Brazda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Simecek above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 55 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Adam Brazda at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jan Simecek 1–1 Adam Brazda Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Simecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1629 vs Brazda 1727
Brazda
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 60% vs Brazda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 50% vs Brazda 70%
Brazda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek +3 · Brazda -1
Simecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Simecek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brazda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.65 / Brazda 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Simecek)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13072502
Simecek1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 32 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Brazda2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 27 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back28% 9 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSimecek1wins
AwayBrazda1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSimecekBrazdaS − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.036.5−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 208 vs 188 / 39949.5%47.1%103 / 208 vs 188 / 399Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekSimecek 1.65/Brazda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek—10740A. Brazda—1211113
WSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek—111177113A. Brazda—95111132
J. Simecek10
WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113WSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091WSep 3 · 14:30S. Kasnik2.258970J. Simecek1.571111113LAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 01:30J. Simecek2.20412912132J. Ruzicka1.6111101110153
A. Brazda10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:00A. Brazda1.61515811113S. Kasnik2.20111311792WSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113LSep 1 · 17:30A. Brazda1.40118771S. Kasnik2.7591111113WSep 1 · 16:00S. Kasnik2.001111761A. Brazda1.7313711113WSep 1 · 15:00J. Louda1.40561281A. Brazda2.75111110113
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