TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064224
Played Sep 3Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1513611611112711
Adam Brazda
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:49 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Brazda to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Adam Brazda at 58.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 5–11 Adam Brazda Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:49What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Brazda
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1748 vs Brazda 1701
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 80% vs Brazda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 50% vs Brazda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +4 · Brazda -1
Nohejl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brazda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.61 / Brazda 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Nohejl)-0.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13064224
Nohejl1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 62 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it83% 47 of 57
Brazda2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog42% won 27 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back28% 9 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl3wins
AwayBrazda7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBrazda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl75%3 of 4
AwayBrazda100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl4Brazda6n = 10Brazda took 6 of 10
S2Nohejl5Brazda5n = 10split evenly
S3Nohejl3Brazda7n = 10Brazda took 7 of 10
S4Nohejl4Brazda4n = 8split evenly
S5Nohejl1Brazda2n = 3Brazda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlBrazdaN − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.2−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 307 vs 185 / 39554.4%46.8%167 / 307 vs 185 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.61/Brazda 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJan 12 · 18:00V. Nohejl—47111182A. Brazda—111172113
WJan 12 · 16:30V. Nohejl—11202113A. Brazda—9181161
LDec 29 · 22:04V. Nohejl—611881A. Brazda—11711113
LDec 29 · 19:00V. Nohejl—711571A. Brazda—11811113
WOct 2 · 19:00V. Nohejl—117911123A. Brazda—411114102
WSep 14 · 09:00V. Nohejl—1111113A. Brazda—5370
LSep 14 · 06:30V. Nohejl—8121111102A. Brazda—111419123
LJun 24 · 21:06V. Nohejl—119751A. Brazda—91111113
LJun 24 · 18:00V. Nohejl—611691A. Brazda—11911113
LMar 18 · 20:30V. Nohejl—131130A. Brazda—1513113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971WSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
A. Brazda10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:00A. Brazda1.61515811113S. Kasnik2.20111311792LSep 1 · 17:30A. Brazda1.40118771S. Kasnik2.7591111113WSep 1 · 16:00S. Kasnik2.001111761A. Brazda1.7313711113WSep 1 · 15:00J. Louda1.40561281A. Brazda2.75111110113
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