TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052637
Played Sep 1Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911119119117––
Martin Sychra
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:46 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 78 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 72.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 14–3 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-3 in 17
Nohejl
Correct
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1714 vs Sychra 1703
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 40% vs Sychra 20%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 30% vs Sychra 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +2 · Sychra +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.33 / Sychra 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Nohejl)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052637
Nohejl1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 58 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it82% 45 of 55
Sychra3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 177 of 369
Down 0–1, comes back25% 47 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl8wins
AwaySychra2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNohejl leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl100%7 of 7
AwaySychra66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl7Sychra3n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S2Nohejl6Sychra4n = 10Nohejl took 6 of 10
S3Nohejl8Sychra2n = 10Nohejl took 8 of 10
S4Nohejl3Sychra2n = 5Nohejl took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlSychraN − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.831.3+7.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 305 vs 797 / 151054.1%52.8%165 / 305 vs 797 / 1510Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.33/Sychra 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 4 · 12:30V. Nohejl—1111113M. Sychra—6790
LJun 14 · 08:00V. Nohejl—881171M. Sychra—11113113
WJun 12 · 18:30V. Nohejl—171112113M. Sychra—1921091
WJun 12 · 17:30V. Nohejl—1311113M. Sychra—11580
WJun 12 · 14:30V. Nohejl—111169113M. Sychra—45111172
WMar 22 · 15:00V. Nohejl—1112123M. Sychra—810100
WNov 2 · 18:00V. Nohejl—17911113M. Sychra—1511451
WNov 2 · 16:30V. Nohejl—1115113M. Sychra—41370
WNov 1 · 10:00V. Nohejl—11611113M. Sychra—711591
LNov 1 · 07:30V. Nohejl—10990M. Sychra—1211113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192
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