TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052983
Played Sep 1Finished
Vlastimil Kolar
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711911811––
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:36 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVlastimil Kolar above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 57.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vlastimil Kolar 3–6 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Vlastimil Kolar has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:36What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Nohejl
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1726 vs Nohejl 1702
Kolar
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 60% vs Nohejl 40%
Kolar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 60% vs Nohejl 30%
Kolar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar +3 · Nohejl +1
Kolar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 2.10 / Nohejl 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Nohejl)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052983
Kolar2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog45% won 44 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Nohejl1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 58 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it82% 45 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKolar3wins
AwayNohejl6wins
4 of 9 to a deciderNohejl leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolar50%2 of 4
AwayNohejl80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar4Nohejl5n = 9Nohejl took 5 of 9
S2Kolar3Nohejl6n = 9Nohejl took 6 of 9
S3Kolar6Nohejl3n = 9Kolar took 6 of 9
S4Kolar2Nohejl3n = 5Nohejl took 3 of 5
S5Kolar1Nohejl3n = 4Nohejl took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKolarNohejlK − NBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.040.2−2.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 174 vs 164 / 30453.5%54%93 / 174 vs 164 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlKolar 2.10/Nohejl 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 19 · 21:04V. Kolar—1111113V. Nohejl—9950
LAug 19 · 18:30V. Kolar—71171282V. Nohejl—1171110113
LAug 19 · 14:30V. Kolar—591391V. Nohejl—111111113
WJun 22 · 17:30V. Kolar—1291112123V. Nohejl—1411510102
LJun 22 · 16:30V. Kolar—6780V. Nohejl—1111113
WMay 28 · 17:00V. Kolar—1111113V. Nohejl—8470
LMay 28 · 16:30V. Kolar—111111962V. Nohejl—913911113
LApr 4 · 11:30V. Kolar—10960V. Nohejl—1211113
LApr 3 · 12:30V. Kolar—16711472V. Nohejl—1411911113
V. Kolar10
WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 20:30J. Louda1.8011711113V. Kolar1.91611761LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Sychra2.003111014113V. Kolar1.73118121272LSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192LSep 1 · 21:00M. Sychra2.201011511113V. Kolar1.6112911492LSep 1 · 20:30O. Svacha1.911111113V. Kolar1.805990
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971
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