TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065088
Played Sep 3Finished
Vlastimil Kolar
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012117611511––
Radek Rose
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVlastimil Kolar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVlastimil Kolar above · Radek Rose below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Vlastimil Kolar at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vlastimil Kolar 0–3 Radek Rose Vlastimil Kolar has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Rose
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Rose
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1631 vs Rose 1646
Rose
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 0% vs Rose 80%
Rose
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 20% vs Rose 50%
Rose
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar -5 · Rose +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rose form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 1.83 / Rose 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolar)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065088
Kolar1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Rose1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKolar0wins
AwayRose3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderRose leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolarn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayRose100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar0Rose3n = 3Rose took 3 of 3
S2Kolar2Rose1n = 3Kolar took 2 of 3
S3Kolar1Rose2n = 3Rose took 2 of 3
S4Kolar1Rose2n = 3Rose took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKolarRoseK − RBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match37.343.0−5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarRoseBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 183 vs 158 / 34150.8%46.3%93 / 183 vs 158 / 341Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolarKolar 1.83/Rose 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar—1011651R. Rose—12711113
LJul 31 · 16:30V. Kolar—911761R. Rose—11511113
LJun 26 · 18:00V. Kolar—89111272R. Rose—1111710113
V. Kolar10
WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 20:30J. Louda1.8011711113V. Kolar1.91611761LSep 3 · 18:30M. Sychra2.003111014113V. Kolar1.73118121272LSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192LSep 1 · 21:00M. Sychra2.201011511113V. Kolar1.6112911492LSep 1 · 20:30O. Svacha1.911111113V. Kolar1.805990LSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
R. Rose10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112LSep 3 · 20:00R. Rose3.2568111392M. Sychra1.331111911113WSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose1.67159711113J. Louda2.10131111362WAug 27 · 20:58R. Rose1.5341111133M. Klement2.381176111WAug 27 · 20:30R. Urbaniec2.00912331R. Rose1.73111011113WAug 27 · 19:30R. Rose1.61641411123M. Klement2.201111124102
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