TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064205
Played Sep 3Finished
Radek Rose
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1513911711113116
Jiri Louda
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:48 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 97 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Radek Rose at 69.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 19–9 Jiri Louda Jiri Louda has won 9 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rose
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-9 in 28
Rose
Correct
gap of 10 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rose 1623 vs Louda 1626
Louda
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 60% vs Louda 0%
Rose
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 50% vs Louda 30%
Rose
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose +3 · Louda -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rose) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.67 / Louda 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rose)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13064205
Rose1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 28 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Louda2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 65 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRose3wins
AwayLouda7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRose75%3 of 4
AwayLouda100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rose4Louda6n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S2Rose6Louda4n = 10Rose took 6 of 10
S3Rose5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S4Rose2Louda5n = 7Louda took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRoseLoudaR − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.435.8−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 343 vs 613 / 120446.1%50.9%158 / 343 vs 613 / 1204Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoseRose 1.67/Louda 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 21:30R. Rose—1111113J. Louda—5360
LAug 18 · 19:00R. Rose—10890J. Louda—1211113
WJun 24 · 18:00R. Rose—11116113J. Louda—381171
LMay 4 · 21:30R. Rose—511101122J. Louda—115128113
LMay 4 · 18:00R. Rose—891171J. Louda—11118113
LFeb 19 · 19:00R. Rose—1111910102J. Louda—681112123
WFeb 16 · 20:00R. Rose—1111113J. Louda—8890
LFeb 5 · 22:30R. Rose—761171J. Louda—11117113
LFeb 5 · 19:30R. Rose—9111031J. Louda—11712113
LJan 14 · 19:00R. Rose—491191J. Louda—11115113
R. Rose10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112LSep 3 · 20:00R. Rose3.2568111392M. Sychra1.331111911113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113WAug 27 · 20:58R. Rose1.5341111133M. Klement2.381176111WAug 27 · 20:30R. Urbaniec2.00912331R. Rose1.73111011113WAug 27 · 19:30R. Rose1.61641411123M. Klement2.201111124102
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481
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