TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065157
Played Sep 3Finished
Radek Rose
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6118111191311911
Martin Sychra
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Martin Sychra at 73.7%
100 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 0–2 Martin Sychra Radek Rose has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rose 1646 vs Sychra 1723
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 100% vs Sychra 80%
Rose
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 50% vs Sychra 70%
Sychra
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose +5 · Sychra +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Sychra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rose form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 3.25 / Sychra 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Sychra)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065157
Rose3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 15 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Sychra1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 253 of 422
Up 2–0, closes it93% 113 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it80% 175 of 218
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRose0wins
AwaySychra2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSychra leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricRoseSychraR − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.045.5−9.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 341 vs 800 / 151146.3%53%158 / 341 vs 800 / 1511Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraRose 3.25/Sychra 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 19 · 16:59R. Rose—9930M. Sychra—1111113
LJun 19 · 16:00R. Rose—141014852M. Sychra—12121211113
R. Rose10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112WSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113WSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose1.67159711113J. Louda2.10131111362WAug 27 · 20:58R. Rose1.5341111133M. Klement2.381176111WAug 27 · 20:30R. Urbaniec2.00912331R. Rose1.73111011113WAug 27 · 19:30R. Rose1.61641411123M. Klement2.201111124102
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680WSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112
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