TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081851
Played Sep 6Finished
Radek Rose
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118117––––
Jakub Tazler
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 61 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Radek Rose at 54.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 1–1 Jakub Tazler Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rose
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rose 1671 vs Tazler 1645
Rose
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 60% vs Tazler 80%
Tazler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 50% vs Tazler 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose -2 · Tazler +4
Tazler
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rose) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.57 / Tazler 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Rose)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081851
Rose1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 29 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it68% 19 of 28
Tazler2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 95 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back29% 31 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back16% 10 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRose1wins
AwayTazler1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRoseTazlerR − TBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.036.0+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 343 vs 390 / 71146.4%54.9%159 / 343 vs 390 / 711Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoseRose 1.57/Tazler 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose—1311113J. Tazler—11870
LJun 19 · 15:30R. Rose—11881132J. Tazler—411119113
R. Rose10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112LSep 3 · 20:00R. Rose3.2568111392M. Sychra1.331111911113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113WSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose1.67159711113J. Louda2.10131111362WAug 27 · 20:58R. Rose1.5341111133M. Klement2.381176111WAug 27 · 20:30R. Urbaniec2.00912331R. Rose1.73111011113WAug 27 · 19:30R. Rose1.61641411123M. Klement2.201111124102
J. Tazler10
LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142WSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100WSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122
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