TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083695
Played Sep 6Finished
Viktor Vejvoda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
121012101210––––
Jakub Tazler
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:18 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 66 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 56.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 4–3 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vejvoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1817 vs Tazler 1645
Vejvoda
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 40% vs Tazler 60%
Tazler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 60% vs Tazler 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda -1 · Tazler +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 1.73 / Tazler 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Vejvoda)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083695
Vejvoda1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 177 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it94% 86 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it83% 117 of 141
Tazler2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 95 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back29% 31 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back16% 10 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVejvoda4wins
AwayTazler3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderVejvoda leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvodan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTazler40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda2Tazler5n = 7Tazler took 5 of 7
S2Vejvoda3Tazler4n = 7Tazler took 4 of 7
S3Vejvoda4Tazler3n = 7Vejvoda took 4 of 7
S4Vejvoda3Tazler3n = 6split evenly
S5Vejvoda3Tazler1n = 4Vejvoda took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricVejvodaTazlerV − TBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match43.042.4+0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 882 vs 390 / 71152.5%54.9%463 / 882 vs 390 / 711Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaVejvoda 1.73/Tazler 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 9 · 23:00V. Vejvoda—91118113J. Tazler—1191661
WAug 5 · 21:30V. Vejvoda—741111133J. Tazler—111198112
LAug 5 · 19:00V. Vejvoda—116691J. Tazler—81111113
LAug 3 · 11:00V. Vejvoda—8690J. Tazler—1111113
WAug 3 · 06:30V. Vejvoda—911119113J. Tazler—11761132
WJul 30 · 21:28V. Vejvoda—11111111113J. Tazler—81313842
LJul 30 · 20:00V. Vejvoda—411111092J. Tazler—117612113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110
J. Tazler10
LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142LSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870WSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100WSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122
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