TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13085844
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11312101210––––
Karel Schopf
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:29 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Tazler to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Karel Schopf below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 58 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Jakub Tazler at 55.8%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 6–6 Karel Schopf Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tazler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1697 vs Schopf 1608
Tazler
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 80% vs Schopf 60%
Tazler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 50% vs Schopf 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler +3 · Schopf -1
Tazler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tazler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schopf form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 1.67 / Schopf 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Tazler)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13085844
Tazler1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 93 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 72 of 92
Schopf2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 23 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTazler6wins
AwaySchopf4wins
Tazler leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler100%5 of 5
AwaySchopf80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler5Schopf5n = 10split evenly
S2Tazler8Schopf2n = 10Tazler took 8 of 10
S3Tazler7Schopf3n = 10Tazler took 7 of 10
S4Tazler2Schopf4n = 6Schopf took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTazlerSchopfT − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.131.7+4.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 706 vs 228 / 45154.8%50.6%387 / 706 vs 228 / 451Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TazlerTazler 1.67/Schopf 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Tazler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 22:30J. Tazler—1071141K. Schopf—12119113
WAug 5 · 02:00J. Tazler—91111113K. Schopf—116751
WAug 3 · 13:30J. Tazler—121411113K. Schopf—1016481
LAug 3 · 10:30J. Tazler—811771K. Schopf—11711113
WAug 3 · 09:00J. Tazler—1111113K. Schopf—8980
WAug 3 · 07:00J. Tazler—1111113K. Schopf—7680
WJun 24 · 03:30J. Tazler—1114113K. Schopf—71280
LJun 24 · 02:00J. Tazler—8111081K. Schopf—11412113
WJun 23 · 19:00J. Tazler—1111113K. Schopf—7830
LJun 17 · 17:30J. Tazler—711881K. Schopf—11511113
J. Tazler10
LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142LSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870WSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122
K. Schopf10
LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660LSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142WSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113WSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113
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