TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083430
Played Sep 6Finished
Radek Rose
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116112––––
Karel Schopf
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:19 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Karel Schopf below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-2
Point 47 set 3, 9-2 — our read held Radek Rose at 68.1%
47 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Radek Rose 2–0 Karel Schopf Karel Schopf has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Rose
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rose 1671 vs Schopf 1584
Rose
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 40% vs Schopf 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 60% vs Schopf 40%
Rose
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose -1 · Schopf -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Rose) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rose form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.33 / Schopf 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Rose)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083430
Rose1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 29 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it68% 19 of 28
Schopf3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 25 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRose2wins
AwaySchopf0wins
Rose leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRoseSchopfR − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match34.519.0+15.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 343 vs 229 / 45646.4%50.2%159 / 343 vs 229 / 456Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoseRose 1.33/Schopf 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose—1111113K. Schopf—8620
WJun 24 · 19:30R. Rose—1111143K. Schopf—46120
R. Rose10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112LSep 3 · 20:00R. Rose3.2568111392M. Sychra1.331111911113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113WSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose1.67159711113J. Louda2.10131111362WAug 27 · 20:58R. Rose1.5341111133M. Klement2.381176111WAug 27 · 20:30R. Urbaniec2.00912331R. Rose1.73111011113WAug 27 · 19:30R. Rose1.61641411123M. Klement2.201111124102
K. Schopf10
LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660LSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142WSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100LSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113WSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113
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