TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13021337
Played Aug 27Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111210311311––
Radek Rose
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Radek Rose below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 70 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Radek Rose at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 6–13 Radek Rose Radim Urbaniec has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:50What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rose
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Rose
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1745 vs Rose 1569
Urbaniec
Wrong
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 100% vs Rose 20%
Urbaniec
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 80% vs Rose 40%
Urbaniec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +5 · Rose +1
Urbaniec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rose)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rose form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.00 / Rose 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Urbaniec)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13021337
Urbaniec2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 192 of 470
Down 0–1, comes back21% 55 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 143
Rose1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 25 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it65% 17 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec2wins
AwayRose8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRose leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec25%1 of 4
AwayRose83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec4Rose6n = 10Rose took 6 of 10
S2Urbaniec3Rose7n = 10Rose took 7 of 10
S3Urbaniec3Rose7n = 10Rose took 7 of 10
S4Urbaniec1Rose6n = 7Rose took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecRoseU − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.939.6−6.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecRoseBasisWin rate · lifetime590 / 1149 vs 156 / 34151.4%45.8%590 / 1149 vs 156 / 341Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 2.00/Rose 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 21:00R. Urbaniec—11113892R. Rose—441111113
WAug 17 · 19:30R. Urbaniec—911138113R. Rose—119111182
WAug 14 · 20:30R. Urbaniec—11114113R. Rose—581191
LAug 10 · 20:00R. Urbaniec—106110R. Rose—1211133
LJun 16 · 21:00R. Urbaniec—1091651R. Rose—121114113
LJun 16 · 18:00R. Urbaniec—115971R. Rose—41111113
LMay 11 · 21:30R. Urbaniec—74100R. Rose—1111123
LMay 11 · 20:30R. Urbaniec—117461R. Rose—81111113
LFeb 16 · 22:30R. Urbaniec—4670R. Rose—1111113
LFeb 15 · 14:01R. Urbaniec—8311111R. Rose—11118133
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192
R. Rose10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112LSep 3 · 20:00R. Rose3.2568111392M. Sychra1.331111911113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113WSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose1.67159711113J. Louda2.10131111362WAug 27 · 20:58R. Rose1.5341111133M. Klement2.381176111WAug 27 · 19:30R. Rose1.61641411123M. Klement2.201111124102
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