TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065213
Played Sep 3Finished
Vitezslav Burdik
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118211511––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitezslav Burdik above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Burdik 4–9 Radim Urbaniec Vitezslav Burdik has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Urbaniec
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burdik 1720 vs Urbaniec 1680
Burdik
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burdik 60% vs Urbaniec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burdik 50% vs Urbaniec 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burdik -1 · Urbaniec +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urbaniec)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurdik 1.91 / Urbaniec 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Urbaniec)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065213
Burdik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Urbaniec1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 200 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it92% 100 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it76% 135 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurdik3wins
AwayUrbaniec7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurdik60%3 of 5
AwayUrbaniec100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burdik5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S2Burdik4Urbaniec6n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S3Burdik5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S4Burdik1Urbaniec6n = 7Urbaniec took 6 of 7
S5Burdik2Urbaniec3n = 5Urbaniec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurdikUrbaniecB − UBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.441.4−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurdikUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 188 vs 608 / 119450.5%50.9%95 / 188 vs 608 / 1194Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecBurdik 1.91/Urbaniec 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 14:00V. Burdik—121179113R. Urbaniec—108111192
LJun 25 · 19:00V. Burdik—2650R. Urbaniec—1111113
LJun 23 · 21:30V. Burdik—1091171R. Urbaniec—12115113
WJun 23 · 20:30V. Burdik—1310116113R. Urbaniec—111281192
LMay 19 · 20:00V. Burdik—113491R. Urbaniec—31111113
LMay 5 · 19:00V. Burdik—711813102R. Urbaniec—1111111123
LApr 21 · 18:30V. Burdik—15611692R. Urbaniec—1311611113
LApr 3 · 09:00V. Burdik—1011115102R. Urbaniec—127611123
LApr 3 · 06:00V. Burdik—99110R. Urbaniec—1111133
WMar 16 · 20:30V. Burdik—1112113R. Urbaniec—81070
V. Burdik10
WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571WSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101LSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272WAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113LAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:30V. Burdik2.5064100M. Grundel1.501111123
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192LSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101
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