TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12449976
Played Aug 18Finished
Vitezslav Burdik
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6114111012––––
Matej Grundel
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMatej Grundel to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitezslav Burdik above · Matej Grundel below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Matej Grundel at 62.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Burdik 0–2 Matej Grundel Vitezslav Burdik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:04What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Grundel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Burdik 1735 vs Grundel 1767
Grundel
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burdik 60% vs Grundel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burdik 50% vs Grundel 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burdik +1 · Grundel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Grundel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burdik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurdik 2.50 / Grundel 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Grundel)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12449976
Burdik2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 15 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Grundel1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 68 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it75% 47 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBurdik0wins
AwayGrundel2wins
Grundel leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricBurdikGrundelB − GBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match21.538.0−16.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurdikGrundelBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 187 vs 152 / 29250.3%52.1%94 / 187 vs 152 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrundelBurdik 2.50/Grundel 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Grundel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grundel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 21 · 06:00V. Burdik—7730M. Grundel—1111113
LNov 23 · 17:30V. Burdik—4111011M. Grundel—11912113
V. Burdik10
WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571WSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101LSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272WAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113LAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851
M. Grundel10
LSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191LSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113WSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160WAug 27 · 17:28M. Grundel1.831111109113L. Prikasky1.8382121192LAug 27 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.83119811113M. Grundel1.8361111882WAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113WAug 27 · 14:30M. Grundel2.001111113L. Velebil1.737750WAug 26 · 17:03M. Grundel1.771011812113L. Prikasky1.95127111072WAug 26 · 16:59M. Grundel1.911011812113P. Libor1.80127111072
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