TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051951
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitezslav Burdik
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119411115117––
Lukas Kern
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:35 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Kern to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitezslav Burdik above · Lukas Kern below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Lukas Kern at 57.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Burdik 1–0 Lukas Kern Lukas Kern has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:35What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Burdik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Burdik 1739 vs Kern 1607
Burdik
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burdik 40% vs Kern 0%
Burdik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burdik 50% vs Kern 20%
Burdik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burdik +1 · Kern -5
Kern
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Burdik) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kern form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurdik 1.53 / Kern 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Burdik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051951
Burdik1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 20 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Kern2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 41 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBurdik1wins
AwayKern0wins
Burdik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBurdikKernB − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.032.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurdikKernBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 185 vs 128 / 24550.8%52.2%94 / 185 vs 128 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurdikBurdik 1.53/Kern 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Burdik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Burdik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik—11411113L. Kern—911571
V. Burdik10
WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101LSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272WAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113LAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:30V. Burdik2.5064100M. Grundel1.501111123
L. Kern10
WSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113WSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113LSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113WSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192WSep 1 · 20:58R. Urbaniec1.4482100L. Kern2.631111123LSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113
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