TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064284
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Wollny
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119117811511
Vitezslav Burdik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Wollny to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Wollny above · Vitezslav Burdik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 90 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Michal Wollny at 58.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Michal Wollny 8–5 Vitezslav Burdik Vitezslav Burdik has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:58What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wollny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Wollny
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wollny 1805 vs Burdik 1721
Wollny
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wollny 80% vs Burdik 60%
Wollny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wollny 60% vs Burdik 40%
Wollny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wollny +4 · Burdik -1
Wollny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wollny) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wollny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWollny 1.73 / Burdik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wollny)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13064284
Wollny1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 29 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Burdik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWollny7wins
AwayBurdik3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWollny leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWollny75%3 of 4
AwayBurdik33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wollny4Burdik6n = 10Burdik took 6 of 10
S2Wollny5Burdik5n = 10split evenly
S3Wollny6Burdik4n = 10Wollny took 6 of 10
S4Wollny4Burdik5n = 9Burdik took 5 of 9
S5Wollny4Burdik0n = 4Wollny took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWollnyBurdikW − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.939.3+2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWollnyBurdikBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 233 vs 94 / 18653.7%50.5%125 / 233 vs 94 / 186Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WollnyWollny 1.73/Burdik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Wollny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Burdik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny—1011911113V. Burdik—12711882
WSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny—1111910113V. Burdik—48111272
LAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny—71350V. Burdik—1115113
WAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny—13811113V. Burdik—1111851
WJun 25 · 20:00M. Wollny—91111113V. Burdik—117251
LJun 23 · 19:00M. Wollny—751191V. Burdik—11113113
WJun 21 · 07:00M. Wollny—111011113V. Burdik—712671
WJun 14 · 21:30M. Wollny—711114113V. Burdik—11851192
LJun 14 · 20:00M. Wollny—1710671V. Burdik—151211113
WNov 7 · 19:30M. Wollny—611135113V. Burdik—116111182
M. Wollny10
LSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113LSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:00M. Wollny1.6111118113R. Urbaniec2.20941171WSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113WSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272LAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113WAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:00M. Wollny1.7341161192L. Velebil2.00118118113
V. Burdik10
WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571WSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101LSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272WAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113LAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:30V. Burdik2.5064100M. Grundel1.501111123
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