TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13072813
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Wollny
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611118811––
Michal Kratochvil
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:08 and never touched — 76.2% is still 76.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Wollny to win
76.2%
76.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Wollny above · Michal Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Michal Wollny at 76.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Michal Wollny 1–1 Michal Kratochvil Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kratochvil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wollny 1792 vs Kratochvil 1683
Wollny
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wollny 60% vs Kratochvil 20%
Wollny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wollny 50% vs Kratochvil 20%
Wollny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wollny -2 · Kratochvil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kratochvil) · live re-read · sealed at 24% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWollny 2.20 / Kratochvil 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kratochvil)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13072813
Wollny2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 14 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Kratochvil1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite50% won 65 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 42 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWollny1wins
AwayKratochvil1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWollnyKratochvilW − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.531.0+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWollnyKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 235 vs 274 / 57253.2%47.9%125 / 235 vs 274 / 572Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilWollny 2.20/Kratochvil 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 7 · 18:30M. Wollny—851161M. Kratochvil—11113113
WSep 26 · 15:30M. Wollny—1311113M. Kratochvil—11960
M. Wollny10
LSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781LSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113WSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:00M. Wollny1.6111118113R. Urbaniec2.20941171WSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113WSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272LAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113WAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:00M. Wollny1.7341161192L. Velebil2.00118118113
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 08:58M. Kratochvil3.00101111782E. Mares1.36125911113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kratochvil3.00611718113E. Mares1.36119111662LAug 30 · 07:30T. Kos1.441111113M. Kratochvil2.638860
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