TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042168
Played Aug 30Finished
Michal Kratochvil
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111161165111416
Tomas Kos
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:15 and never touched — 67.0% is still 67.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
67.0%
67.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Kratochvil above · Tomas Kos below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 14-16
Point 100 set 5, 14-16 — our read held Tomas Kos at 67.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kratochvil 3–6 Tomas Kos Michal Kratochvil has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Kos
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1746 vs Kos 1882
Kos
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 40% vs Kos 60%
Kos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 30% vs Kos 70%
Kos
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil -1 · Kos -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 3.00 / Kos 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Kos)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042168
Kratochvil3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 103 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back31% 42 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Kos1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 18 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKratochvil3wins
AwayKos6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKos leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochviln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKos71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil2Kos7n = 9Kos took 7 of 9
S2Kratochvil4Kos5n = 9Kos took 5 of 9
S3Kratochvil1Kos8n = 9Kos took 8 of 9
S4Kratochvil2Kos4n = 6Kos took 4 of 6
S5Kratochvil3Kos0n = 3Kratochvil took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricKratochvilKosKratochvil − KosBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match32.439.4−7.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilKosBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 570 vs 85 / 17548.1%48.6%274 / 570 vs 85 / 175Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKratochvil 3.00/Kos 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 30 · 07:30M. Kratochvil—8860T. Kos—1111113
LAug 28 · 11:30M. Kratochvil—113461T. Kos—91111113
WAug 28 · 06:30M. Kratochvil—011811113T. Kos—11511282
LAug 15 · 16:30M. Kratochvil—1061131T. Kos—12119113
LAug 14 · 16:30M. Kratochvil—7111121T. Kos—11611143
LJul 19 · 08:30M. Kratochvil—91190T. Kos—1113113
WMay 10 · 12:30M. Kratochvil—811511113T. Kos—11911582
LMay 10 · 08:30M. Kratochvil—73100T. Kos—1111123
WMay 9 · 15:30M. Kratochvil—1111106113T. Kos—78121172
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113WSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 30 · 08:58M. Kratochvil3.00101111782E. Mares1.36125911113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kratochvil3.00611718113E. Mares1.36119111662LAug 30 · 07:30T. Kos1.441111113M. Kratochvil2.638860
T. Kos10
WAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442LAug 30 · 11:30T. Kos1.67891181E. Mares2.1011114113LAug 30 · 09:29J. Zajicek1.361111143T. Kos3.0083120LAug 30 · 08:30J. Zajicek1.401111113T. Kos2.758570WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kos1.441111113M. Kratochvil2.638860WAug 30 · 06:30E. Mares2.00411551T. Kos1.7311711113WAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos2.2011101011113J. Cernik1.6091212992WAug 28 · 12:30E. Mares1.8314580T. Kos1.831611113WAug 28 · 11:30T. Kos1.5391111113M. Kratochvil2.38113461
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