TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042826
Played Aug 30Finished
Zdenek Bilek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911116811114114
Tomas Kos
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:36 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Bilek above · Tomas Kos below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 86 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Tomas Kos at 54.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Bilek 4–4 Tomas Kos Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilek 1784 vs Kos 1881
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilek 40% vs Kos 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilek 30% vs Kos 70%
Kos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilek +2 · Kos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilek 1.91 / Kos 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kos)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042826
Bilek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 37 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back23% 11 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Kos1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 18 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBilek4wins
AwayKos4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilek33.3%1 of 3
AwayKos40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilek3Kos5n = 8Kos took 5 of 8
S2Bilek3Kos5n = 8Kos took 5 of 8
S3Bilek3Kos5n = 8Kos took 5 of 8
S4Bilek4Kos3n = 7Bilek took 4 of 7
S5Bilek3Kos1n = 4Bilek took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricBilekKosB − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match40.844.8−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilekKosBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 355 vs 86 / 17752.4%48.6%186 / 355 vs 86 / 177Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosBilek 1.91/Kos 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bilek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 29 · 18:30Z. Bilek—514612123T. Kos—11121110102
WSep 13 · 13:30Z. Bilek—11158113T. Kos—5131191
WSep 13 · 10:00Z. Bilek—591113113T. Kos—111161192
WAug 9 · 17:30Z. Bilek—7111011123T. Kos—119128102
LAug 9 · 16:30Z. Bilek—118138122T. Kos—7111111143
LJul 12 · 12:00Z. Bilek—115951T. Kos—51111113
LJun 7 · 13:00Z. Bilek—5640T. Kos—1111113
LJun 7 · 11:00Z. Bilek—881271T. Kos—111110113
Z. Bilek10
LAug 30 · 13:29Z. Bilek2.1011911482E. Mares1.65311711113WAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122WAug 30 · 10:00E. Mares1.73961131Z. Bilek2.0011114113LAug 15 · 02:30L. Zeman2.3813511113Z. Bilek1.531111941LAug 15 · 01:00T. Postelt2.631111710113Z. Bilek1.4486111292LAug 14 · 23:30Z. Bilek1.801171091M. Kratochvil1.9181112113LAug 14 · 22:00Z. Bilek2.2010380E. Mares1.611211113WAug 8 · 13:00E. Mares1.73551812102Z. Bilek2.0011111610123LAug 8 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.50891181L. Zeman2.5011118113LAug 8 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.67671161L. Jindrak2.1011119113
T. Kos10
WAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 11:30T. Kos1.67891181E. Mares2.1011114113WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 09:29J. Zajicek1.361111143T. Kos3.0083120LAug 30 · 08:30J. Zajicek1.401111113T. Kos2.758570WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kos1.441111113M. Kratochvil2.638860WAug 30 · 06:30E. Mares2.00411551T. Kos1.7311711113WAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos2.2011101011113J. Cernik1.6091212992WAug 28 · 12:30E. Mares1.8314580T. Kos1.831611113WAug 28 · 11:30T. Kos1.5391111113M. Kratochvil2.38113461
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