TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047453
Played Aug 30Finished
Zdenek Bilek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
113911117411811
Erik Mares
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingZdenek Bilek above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 86 set 5, 8-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Bilek 34–49 Erik Mares Zdenek Bilek has won 34 of their 83 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mares)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bilek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilek 2.10 / Mares 1.65
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Mares)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047453
Bilek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 37 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back23% 11 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Mares1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 134 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it86% 86 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it72% 108 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBilek5wins
AwayMares5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilek66.7%2 of 3
AwayMares57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilek3Mares7n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S2Bilek4Mares6n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S3Bilek5Mares5n = 10split evenly
S4Bilek3Mares5n = 8Mares took 5 of 8
S5Bilek5Mares2n = 7Bilek took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBilekMaresB − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.445.6−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilekMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 356 vs 587 / 116952.5%50.2%187 / 356 vs 587 / 1169Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresBilek 2.10/Mares 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mares won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 22:00Z. Bilek—10380E. Mares—1211113
WAug 8 · 13:00Z. Bilek—11111610123E. Mares—551812102
LAug 8 · 10:00Z. Bilek—9950E. Mares—1111113
WJun 30 · 21:00Z. Bilek—6101112113E. Mares—111281052
WJun 30 · 19:30Z. Bilek—671211123E. Mares—1111109102
WJun 27 · 02:30Z. Bilek—11111111113E. Mares—91341372
LJun 17 · 20:30Z. Bilek—11135892E. Mares—5111111113
LJun 10 · 21:30Z. Bilek—261261E. Mares—111110113
LJun 10 · 18:00Z. Bilek—911121172E. Mares—118149113
WJun 7 · 01:00Z. Bilek—11111111113E. Mares—13971392
Z. Bilek10
WAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442WAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122WAug 30 · 10:00E. Mares1.73961131Z. Bilek2.0011114113LAug 15 · 02:30L. Zeman2.3813511113Z. Bilek1.531111941LAug 15 · 01:00T. Postelt2.631111710113Z. Bilek1.4486111292LAug 14 · 23:30Z. Bilek1.801171091M. Kratochvil1.9181112113LAug 14 · 22:00Z. Bilek2.2010380E. Mares1.611211113WAug 8 · 13:00E. Mares1.73551812102Z. Bilek2.0011111610123LAug 8 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.50891181L. Zeman2.5011118113LAug 8 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.67671161L. Jindrak2.1011119113
E. Mares10
LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123LSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LAug 30 · 10:00E. Mares1.73961131Z. Bilek2.0011114113WAug 14 · 22:00Z. Bilek2.2010380E. Mares1.611211113LAug 8 · 13:00E. Mares1.73551812102Z. Bilek2.0011111610123
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