TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086676
Played Sep 6Finished
Erik Mares
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91111131161191012
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeErik Mares to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingErik Mares above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 103 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Erik Mares at 57.4%
103 points played in total.
H2H Erik Mares 12–15 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Erik Mares has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:58What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mares
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Kolisnyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mares 1875 vs Kolisnyk 1683
Mares
Wrong
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mares 40% vs Kolisnyk 0%
Mares
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mares 50% vs Kolisnyk 30%
Mares
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mares +2 · Kolisnyk -5
Kolisnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Mares) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 1.57 / Kolisnyk 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Mares)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086676
Mares1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 143 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it86% 89 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it71% 116 of 163
Kolisnyk2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 87 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares4wins
AwayKolisnyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares60%3 of 5
AwayKolisnyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Mares7Kolisnyk3n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S3Mares4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S4Mares2Kolisnyk5n = 7Kolisnyk took 5 of 7
S5Mares1Kolisnyk2n = 3Kolisnyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresKolisnykM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.338.8+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime595 / 1185 vs 554 / 110350.2%50.2%595 / 1185 vs 554 / 1103Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresMares 1.57/Kolisnyk 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 07:30E. Mares—111169113O. Kolisnyk—89111172
LAug 27 · 13:30E. Mares—1011891O. Kolisnyk—12911113
LAug 27 · 11:00E. Mares—11111181O. Kolisnyk—91313113
WAug 17 · 14:00E. Mares—81511113O. Kolisnyk—1113991
WAug 13 · 13:30E. Mares—1111113O. Kolisnyk—3380
LAug 13 · 12:00E. Mares—1110471O. Kolisnyk—91211113
LAug 12 · 12:00E. Mares—71191282O. Kolisnyk—1181110113
WAug 10 · 12:30E. Mares—1111113O. Kolisnyk—8490
LJul 31 · 02:58E. Mares—8970O. Kolisnyk—1111113
LJul 31 · 24:30E. Mares—911118132O. Kolisnyk—117511153
E. Mares10
WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123LSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113LSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113WSep 4 · 20:00E. Mares1.8011813113J. Vales1.912111171WSep 4 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.7385130E. Mares2.001111153
O. Kolisnyk10
LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:00M. Huk1.9161111982O. Kolisnyk1.80118711113WAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera2.50811611132O. Kolisnyk1.50119119153
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