TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076666
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141181820811118
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 18-20
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 110 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 54.0%
110 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 15–12 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolisnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-12 in 27
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1849 vs Kolisnyk 1784
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 80% vs Kolisnyk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 70% vs Kolisnyk 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -1 · Kolisnyk +4
Kolisnyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zahradka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.83 / Kolisnyk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zahradka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076666
Zahradka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kolisnyk1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka4wins
AwayKolisnyk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka50%2 of 4
AwayKolisnyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S2Zahradka5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Zahradka7Kolisnyk3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S4Zahradka4Kolisnyk5n = 9Kolisnyk took 5 of 9
S5Zahradka1Kolisnyk3n = 4Kolisnyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaKolisnykZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.841.3−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 892 vs 565 / 112048.8%50.5%435 / 892 vs 565 / 1120Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaZahradka 1.83/Kolisnyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 12:30M. Zahradka—1111133O. Kolisnyk—38110
LAug 23 · 07:00M. Zahradka—128111072O. Kolisnyk—1011612113
LAug 14 · 10:30M. Zahradka—91141192O. Kolisnyk—116119113
LAug 12 · 11:30M. Zahradka—811771O. Kolisnyk—11811113
WAug 8 · 15:30M. Zahradka—513116113O. Kolisnyk—111191172
LAug 3 · 12:00M. Zahradka—115791O. Kolisnyk—61111113
LJul 29 · 22:30M. Zahradka—961981O. Kolisnyk—111117113
WJun 8 · 24:30M. Zahradka—11812113O. Kolisnyk—7111091
WJun 2 · 13:30M. Zahradka—101111113O. Kolisnyk—129341
LJun 2 · 10:00M. Zahradka—95111172O. Kolisnyk—111188113
M. Zahradka10
WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793LSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:00E. Mares1.22916891M. Zahradka4.00111411113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750WSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:00M. Huk1.9161111982O. Kolisnyk1.80118711113WAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera2.50811611132O. Kolisnyk1.50119119153
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