TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065097
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111181174111210
Martin Huk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 90 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 70–52 Martin Huk Martin Huk has won 52 of their 122 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:21What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-52 in 122
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 18 in 122, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1790 vs Huk 1826
Huk
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 60% vs Huk 100%
Huk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 60% vs Huk 80%
Huk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka +2 · Huk +5
Huk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zahradka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.73 / Huk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zahradka)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065097
Zahradka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 101 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Huk2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 139 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back25% 43 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka5wins
AwayHuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka71.4%5 of 7
AwayHuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka7Huk3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Zahradka6Huk4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S3Zahradka3Huk7n = 10Huk took 7 of 10
S4Zahradka8Huk1n = 9Zahradka took 8 of 9
S5Zahradka0Huk4n = 4Huk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaHukZ − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.840.4+1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaHukBasisWin rate · lifetime430 / 886 vs 822 / 167048.5%49.2%430 / 886 vs 822 / 1670Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaZahradka 1.73/Huk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 01:30M. Zahradka—1111123M. Huk—99100
LAug 6 · 24:00M. Zahradka—711711122M. Huk—118119143
LAug 5 · 17:28M. Zahradka—91371192M. Huk—1111115113
WAug 5 · 15:00M. Zahradka—12116113M. Huk—1021151
WAug 2 · 01:00M. Zahradka—11117113M. Huk—791161
LJul 30 · 02:59M. Zahradka—117861M. Huk—71111113
WJul 30 · 01:00M. Zahradka—14811113M. Huk—1211991
WJul 15 · 06:30M. Zahradka—111110113M. Huk—791281
LJul 14 · 12:59M. Zahradka—66111172M. Huk—111167113
LJul 14 · 12:00M. Zahradka—11891182M. Huk—911118113
M. Zahradka10
WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182LSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:00E. Mares1.22916891M. Zahradka4.00111411113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750WSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113
M. Huk10
WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750WSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772WSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113WSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152WSep 2 · 19:00M. Huk2.1061112113T. Postelt1.671171091
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