TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059245
Played Sep 2Finished
Martin Huk
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111171210119––
Tomas Postelt
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Postelt at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 9–11 Tomas Postelt Martin Huk has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:24What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Postelt
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1795 vs Postelt 1835
Postelt
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 60% vs Postelt 80%
Postelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 50% vs Postelt 80%
Postelt
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk -1 · Postelt +3
Postelt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 2.10 / Postelt 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Postelt)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059245
Huk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 137 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back24% 41 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 87
Postelt1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 58 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it62% 34 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk4wins
AwayPostelt6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk66.7%4 of 6
AwayPostelt100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk6Postelt4n = 10Huk took 6 of 10
S2Huk6Postelt4n = 10Huk took 6 of 10
S3Huk4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S4Huk2Postelt4n = 6Postelt took 4 of 6
S5Huk1Postelt2n = 3Postelt took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukPosteltH − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.337.1+0.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime817 / 1665 vs 341 / 73849.1%46.2%817 / 1665 vs 341 / 738Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltHuk 2.10/Postelt 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 25 · 07:30M. Huk—71271192T. Postelt—1110116113
LApr 8 · 16:30M. Huk—814861T. Postelt—111211113
LMar 24 · 17:59M. Huk—3740T. Postelt—1111113
LMar 24 · 17:30M. Huk—118781T. Postelt—91111113
WFeb 21 · 21:30M. Huk—1111917113T. Postelt—59111962
LJan 22 · 16:30M. Huk—9111181T. Postelt—11137113
WJan 17 · 08:30M. Huk—1111113T. Postelt—9760
WJan 6 · 23:00M. Huk—1111113T. Postelt—3490
WDec 20 · 23:30M. Huk—1111113T. Postelt—8860
LDec 9 · 18:00M. Huk—116121162T. Postelt—911145113
M. Huk10
WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750LSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772WSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113WSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152
T. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271WSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123WSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130WSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113LSep 2 · 18:30T. Postelt1.671211131192J. Ruzicka2.10149157113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113WSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113
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