TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059887
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Kycelt
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118611711811––
Tomas Postelt
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:53 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Postelt to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kycelt above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Postelt at 56.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kycelt 12–15 Tomas Postelt Jakub Kycelt has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Postelt
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kycelt 1792 vs Postelt 1824
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kycelt 60% vs Postelt 80%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kycelt 40% vs Postelt 70%
Postelt
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kycelt +1 · Postelt +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKycelt 1.85 / Postelt 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Postelt)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059887
Kycelt1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Postelt1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKycelt4wins
AwayPostelt6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKycelt57.1%4 of 7
AwayPostelt100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kycelt7Postelt3n = 10Kycelt took 7 of 10
S2Kycelt5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Kycelt4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S4Kycelt3Postelt6n = 9Postelt took 6 of 9
S5Kycelt1Postelt2n = 3Postelt took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyceltPosteltK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.440.0+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyceltPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 304 vs 340 / 73750%46.1%152 / 304 vs 340 / 737Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltKycelt 1.85/Postelt 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 14:30J. Kycelt—12112113T. Postelt—1051151
WAug 1 · 18:00J. Kycelt—119119133T. Postelt—511811112
LJun 29 · 14:00J. Kycelt—116791T. Postelt—71111113
WJun 25 · 02:58J. Kycelt—12911113T. Postelt—1011451
LJun 25 · 24:30J. Kycelt—1012551T. Postelt—121011113
LJun 5 · 02:00J. Kycelt—1111411112T. Postelt—134117133
WMay 28 · 17:00J. Kycelt—1113113T. Postelt—31190
LMay 28 · 14:30J. Kycelt—1116991T. Postelt—51811113
LMay 21 · 16:30J. Kycelt—1191171T. Postelt—71113113
LMay 14 · 08:58J. Kycelt—51112762T. Postelt—1181011113
J. Kycelt10
LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Kycelt1.531111113M. Huk2.388780WSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 01:30J. Kycelt2.63913691E. Mares1.44111111113LSep 2 · 24:30M. Huk2.5011612113J. Kycelt1.508111081LSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102WSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113
T. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271WSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123WSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130WSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113LSep 2 · 19:00M. Huk2.1061112113T. Postelt1.671171091LSep 2 · 18:30T. Postelt1.671211131192J. Ruzicka2.10149157113WSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113
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