TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13053054
Played Sep 1Finished
Filip Wolf
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511114711511––
Tomas Postelt
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Wolf to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Wolf above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 65 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Filip Wolf at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Filip Wolf 4–6 Tomas Postelt Filip Wolf has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:57What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wolf
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Postelt
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wolf 1855 vs Postelt 1824
Wolf
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wolf 60% vs Postelt 80%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wolf 50% vs Postelt 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wolf +1 · Postelt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wolf)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWolf 1.80 / Postelt 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wolf)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13053054
Wolf1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Postelt1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 70 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back32% 30 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWolf4wins
AwayPostelt6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWolf57.1%4 of 7
AwayPostelt100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wolf7Postelt3n = 10Wolf took 7 of 10
S2Wolf4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Wolf3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S4Wolf4Postelt4n = 8split evenly
S5Wolf2Postelt3n = 5Postelt took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWolfPosteltW − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.2−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWolfPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 204 vs 340 / 73751.5%46.1%105 / 204 vs 340 / 737Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WolfWolf 1.80/Postelt 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wolf · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 08:30F. Wolf—101111101T. Postelt—12613123
LJul 16 · 02:58F. Wolf—111284112T. Postelt—7101111133
LJul 16 · 01:00F. Wolf—611541T. Postelt—11711113
LJun 9 · 14:00F. Wolf—111231182T. Postelt—814116113
LMay 26 · 16:30F. Wolf—11411552T. Postelt—911911113
WMay 18 · 17:30F. Wolf—1113113T. Postelt—61150
WMay 18 · 15:00F. Wolf—11101011113T. Postelt—51212462
LMay 7 · 16:00F. Wolf—61060T. Postelt—1112113
WApr 29 · 16:00F. Wolf—11611133T. Postelt—9119111
WApr 15 · 16:00F. Wolf—119511113T. Postelt—81111292
F. Wolf10
WSep 2 · 02:00F. Wolf1.5011116113M. Huk2.50681171LSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123LSep 2 · 24:00E. Mares1.671112113F. Wolf2.1081060LSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191WSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113WSep 1 · 15:30J. Kycelt1.91101112572F. Wolf1.801281011113LSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113LAug 26 · 13:30F. Wolf1.538511101J. Ruzicka2.2011116123WAug 26 · 12:00J. Jr2.38119881F. Wolf1.5361111113WAug 26 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk2.259670F. Wolf1.571111113
T. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271WSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123WSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130WSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113LSep 2 · 19:00M. Huk2.1061112113T. Postelt1.671171091LSep 2 · 18:30T. Postelt1.671211131192J. Ruzicka2.10149157113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113WSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113
Upcoming Matches
F. Wolf
Nothing scheduled
T. Postelt
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