TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020657
Played Aug 26Finished
Filip Wolf
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8115111161012––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Wolf to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Wolf above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 74 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Filip Wolf at 62.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Filip Wolf 7–4 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (59%)
Wolf
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Wolf
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wolf 1850 vs Ruzicka 1777
Wolf
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wolf 60% vs Ruzicka 40%
Wolf
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wolf 60% vs Ruzicka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wolf +3 · Ruzicka +2
Wolf
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Wolf) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWolf 1.53 / Ruzicka 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Wolf)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020657
Wolf1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 63 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 45 of 62
Ruzicka2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 152 of 379
Down 0–1, comes back22% 53 of 239
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWolf7wins
AwayRuzicka3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWolf leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWolf75%6 of 8
AwayRuzickan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wolf8Ruzicka2n = 10Wolf took 8 of 10
S2Wolf3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S3Wolf6Ruzicka4n = 10Wolf took 6 of 10
S4Wolf4Ruzicka3n = 7Wolf took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWolfRuzickaW − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.337.4+0.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWolfRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 200 vs 681 / 140051.5%48.6%103 / 200 vs 681 / 1400Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WolfWolf 1.53/Ruzicka 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Wolf · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 02:30F. Wolf—114581J. Ruzicka—81111113
WJul 25 · 23:30F. Wolf—1111113J. Ruzicka—3380
LJul 12 · 24:00F. Wolf—5580J. Ruzicka—1111113
WJul 11 · 21:03F. Wolf—118124123J. Ruzicka—6111011102
LJul 11 · 19:30F. Wolf—1578101J. Ruzicka—131111123
WJun 22 · 17:30F. Wolf—11515113J. Ruzicka—9111381
WJun 22 · 15:30F. Wolf—118511123J. Ruzicka—911115102
WJun 22 · 12:00F. Wolf—111611153J. Ruzicka—6188131
WMay 20 · 17:30F. Wolf—81112113J. Ruzicka—1151081
WMay 20 · 16:00F. Wolf—1111113J. Ruzicka—9790
F. Wolf10
WSep 2 · 02:00F. Wolf1.5011116113M. Huk2.50681171LSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123LSep 2 · 24:00E. Mares1.671112113F. Wolf2.1081060LSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191WSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:30J. Kycelt1.91101112572F. Wolf1.801281011113LSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113WAug 26 · 12:00J. Jr2.38119881F. Wolf1.5361111113WAug 26 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk2.259670F. Wolf1.571111113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152
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