TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065105
Played Sep 3Finished
Matous Klimenta
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9119111191131311
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatous Klimenta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatous Klimenta above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 98 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Matous Klimenta at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Matous Klimenta 28–29 Jiri Ruzicka Matous Klimenta has won 28 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:21What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Klimenta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-29 in 57
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klimenta 1751 vs Ruzicka 1680
Klimenta
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klimenta 60% vs Ruzicka 0%
Klimenta
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klimenta 50% vs Ruzicka 10%
Klimenta
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klimenta -2 · Ruzicka -5
Ruzicka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klimenta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlimenta 1.80 / Ruzicka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Klimenta)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065105
Klimenta1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 41 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Ruzicka1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 150 of 372
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 230
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlimenta6wins
AwayRuzicka4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKlimenta leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlimenta75%3 of 4
AwayRuzicka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klimenta4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S2Klimenta7Ruzicka3n = 10Klimenta took 7 of 10
S3Klimenta5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S4Klimenta3Ruzicka3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlimentaRuzickaK − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.335.6+1.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlimentaRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 363 vs 676 / 140056.2%48.3%204 / 363 vs 676 / 1400Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlimentaKlimenta 1.80/Ruzicka 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Klimenta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Klimenta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 01:30M. Klimenta—1111153J. Ruzicka—95130
LJul 19 · 02:30M. Klimenta—54110J. Ruzicka—1111133
LJul 12 · 01:00M. Klimenta—971271J. Ruzicka—111110113
WJun 13 · 19:30M. Klimenta—911811123J. Ruzicka—118113102
WJun 4 · 19:30M. Klimenta—711712113J. Ruzicka—119111072
WMay 24 · 20:30M. Klimenta—1111113J. Ruzicka—6940
WApr 30 · 19:30M. Klimenta—61111113J. Ruzicka—118691
WApr 20 · 21:28M. Klimenta—1111113J. Ruzicka—8570
LApr 20 · 20:00M. Klimenta—118881J. Ruzicka—81111113
LMar 2 · 20:30M. Klimenta—11129101J. Ruzicka—131011123
M. Klimenta10
LSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113LSep 3 · 06:00M. Zahradka2.20111597113M. Klimenta1.61313111182WJul 26 · 03:28M. Klimenta1.73911711113M. Huk2.0011411652WJul 26 · 02:30M. Klimenta2.25113711113F. Wolf1.5781111792WJul 26 · 01:30J. Ruzicka1.8395130M. Klimenta1.831111153LJul 26 · 24:00M. Klimenta1.73127661M. Huk2.00101111113WJul 25 · 23:00J. Jr2.2591111682M. Klimenta1.57118811113WJul 23 · 20:58P. Gireth1.44101311432M. Klimenta2.631211811113LJul 23 · 20:00M. Klimenta2.5081121152J. Vales1.50113118113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152LJul 26 · 01:30J. Ruzicka1.8395130M. Klimenta1.831111153
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