TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12295816
Played Jul 26Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9115111315––––
Matous Klimenta
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Matous Klimenta below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 64 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 29–28 Matous Klimenta Matous Klimenta has won 28 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:30What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Klimenta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-28 in 57
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1706 vs Klimenta 1766
Klimenta
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 20% vs Klimenta 40%
Klimenta
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 60% vs Klimenta 40%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -3 · Klimenta -1
Ruzicka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klimenta form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.83 / Klimenta 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruzicka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12295816
Ruzicka1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Klimenta1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka4wins
AwayKlimenta6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKlimenta leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka50%3 of 6
AwayKlimenta75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka6Klimenta4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S2Ruzicka3Klimenta7n = 10Klimenta took 7 of 10
S3Ruzicka5Klimenta5n = 10split evenly
S4Ruzicka3Klimenta3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaKlimentaR − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.637.3−1.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaKlimentaBasisWin rate · lifetime671 / 1385 vs 227 / 40748.5%55.8%671 / 1385 vs 227 / 407Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.83/Klimenta 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Klimenta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 26 · 01:30J. Ruzicka—95130M. Klimenta—1111153
WJul 19 · 02:30J. Ruzicka—1111133M. Klimenta—54110
WJul 12 · 01:00J. Ruzicka—111110113M. Klimenta—971271
LJun 13 · 19:30J. Ruzicka—118113102M. Klimenta—911811123
LJun 4 · 19:30J. Ruzicka—119111072M. Klimenta—711712113
LMay 24 · 20:30J. Ruzicka—6940M. Klimenta—1111113
LApr 30 · 19:30J. Ruzicka—118691M. Klimenta—61111113
LApr 20 · 21:28J. Ruzicka—8570M. Klimenta—1111113
WApr 20 · 20:00J. Ruzicka—81111113M. Klimenta—118881
WMar 2 · 20:30J. Ruzicka—131011123M. Klimenta—11129101
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152
M. Klimenta10
LSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113LSep 3 · 06:00M. Zahradka2.20111597113M. Klimenta1.61313111182WJul 26 · 03:28M. Klimenta1.73911711113M. Huk2.0011411652WJul 26 · 02:30M. Klimenta2.25113711113F. Wolf1.5781111792LJul 26 · 24:00M. Klimenta1.73127661M. Huk2.00101111113WJul 25 · 23:00J. Jr2.2591111682M. Klimenta1.57118811113WJul 23 · 20:58P. Gireth1.44101311432M. Klimenta2.631211811113LJul 23 · 20:00M. Klimenta2.5081121152J. Vales1.50113118113
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