TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12295802
Played Jul 26Finished
Matous Klimenta
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118311711117119
Filip Wolf
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:30 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Wolf to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatous Klimenta above · Filip Wolf below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Filip Wolf at 63.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Matous Klimenta 2–5 Filip Wolf Matous Klimenta has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Wolf
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Wolf
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klimenta 1766 vs Wolf 1712
Klimenta
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klimenta 60% vs Wolf 80%
Wolf
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klimenta 50% vs Wolf 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klimenta +1 · Wolf -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Wolf) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolf form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlimenta 2.25 / Wolf 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Wolf)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12295802
Klimenta2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 22 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Wolf1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 43 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKlimenta2wins
AwayWolf5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderWolf leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlimentan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWolf80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klimenta2Wolf5n = 7Wolf took 5 of 7
S2Klimenta3Wolf4n = 7Wolf took 4 of 7
S3Klimenta4Wolf3n = 7Klimenta took 4 of 7
S4Klimenta2Wolf3n = 5Wolf took 3 of 5
S5Klimenta1Wolf2n = 3Wolf took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKlimentaWolfK − WBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match36.437.0−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlimentaWolfBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 407 vs 77 / 15355.8%50.3%227 / 407 vs 77 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WolfKlimenta 2.25/Wolf 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Wolf · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Klimenta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 14 · 21:30M. Klimenta—11861182F. Wolf—111119113
LJul 14 · 20:30M. Klimenta—761191F. Wolf—11115113
WJul 12 · 02:59M. Klimenta—1112113F. Wolf—41090
LJul 12 · 02:30M. Klimenta—391171F. Wolf—11117113
LJul 10 · 21:28M. Klimenta—8850F. Wolf—1111113
WJul 10 · 20:00M. Klimenta—911116113F. Wolf—11151122
LJul 8 · 18:00M. Klimenta—511111172F. Wolf—118139113
M. Klimenta10
LSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113LSep 3 · 06:00M. Zahradka2.20111597113M. Klimenta1.61313111182WJul 26 · 03:28M. Klimenta1.73911711113M. Huk2.0011411652WJul 26 · 01:30J. Ruzicka1.8395130M. Klimenta1.831111153LJul 26 · 24:00M. Klimenta1.73127661M. Huk2.00101111113WJul 25 · 23:00J. Jr2.2591111682M. Klimenta1.57118811113WJul 23 · 20:58P. Gireth1.44101311432M. Klimenta2.631211811113LJul 23 · 20:00M. Klimenta2.5081121152J. Vales1.50113118113
F. Wolf10
WSep 2 · 02:00F. Wolf1.5011116113M. Huk2.50681171LSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123LSep 2 · 24:00E. Mares1.671112113F. Wolf2.1081060LSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191WSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:30J. Kycelt1.91101112572F. Wolf1.801281011113LSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113LAug 26 · 13:30F. Wolf1.538511101J. Ruzicka2.2011116123WAug 26 · 12:00J. Jr2.38119881F. Wolf1.5361111113
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