TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13061208
Played Sep 2Finished
Filip Wolf
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11981181113111012
Lukas Zeman
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Wolf to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Wolf above · Lukas Zeman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 104 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Filip Wolf at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Filip Wolf 0–1 Lukas Zeman Filip Wolf has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:05What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wolf 1836 vs Zeman 1809
Wolf
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wolf 40% vs Zeman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wolf 50% vs Zeman 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wolf -2 · Zeman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWolf 2.00 / Zeman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zeman)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13061208
Wolf2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 37 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Zeman1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 42 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWolf0wins
AwayZeman1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZeman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWolfZemanW − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.052.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWolfZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 206 vs 258 / 52051%49.6%105 / 206 vs 258 / 520Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanWolf 2.00/Zeman 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 5 · 08:30F. Wolf—671112102L. Zeman—1111810123
F. Wolf10
WSep 2 · 02:00F. Wolf1.5011116113M. Huk2.50681171LSep 2 · 24:00E. Mares1.671112113F. Wolf2.1081060LSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191WSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:30J. Kycelt1.91101112572F. Wolf1.801281011113LSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113LAug 26 · 13:30F. Wolf1.538511101J. Ruzicka2.2011116123WAug 26 · 12:00J. Jr2.38119881F. Wolf1.5361111113WAug 26 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk2.259670F. Wolf1.571111113
L. Zeman10
LSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 02:30E. Mares1.80111311113L. Zeman1.91715881WSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102LSep 1 · 22:00L. Zeman1.577118101M. Huk2.2511711123LAug 16 · 13:29J. Cernik1.369111011113L. Zeman3.0011912482LAug 16 · 12:00J. Cernik1.3611911113L. Zeman3.00811481WAug 16 · 11:00M. Kratochvil2.10561281L. Zeman1.67111110113WAug 16 · 10:30L. Zeman1.83911611113J. Kanera1.8311911942LAug 15 · 16:59L. Zeman1.5761180M. Kratochvil2.251113113LAug 15 · 16:00E. Mares1.8311916113L. Zeman1.837111491
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