TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12443700
Played Aug 16Finished
Jan Cernik
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111191012114118
Lukas Zeman
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Cernik above · Lukas Zeman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8
96 points played in total.
H2H Jan Cernik 8–5 Lukas Zeman Lukas Zeman has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Cernik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 1.36 / Zeman 3.00
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Cernik)+9.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12443700
Cernik1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 70 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it98% 43 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Zeman3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 45 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernik7wins
AwayZeman3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCernik leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik85.7%6 of 7
AwayZeman66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik7Zeman3n = 10Cernik took 7 of 10
S2Cernik8Zeman2n = 10Cernik took 8 of 10
S3Cernik8Zeman2n = 10Cernik took 8 of 10
S4Cernik3Zeman3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernikZemanC − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.735.2+4.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 340 vs 257 / 51657.4%49.8%195 / 340 vs 257 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikCernik 1.36/Zeman 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 9 · 12:59J. Cernik—1111111092L. Zeman—138712113
WMay 9 · 12:00J. Cernik—1111113L. Zeman—8960
LApr 12 · 21:28J. Cernik—61112682L. Zeman—1171011113
WApr 12 · 18:00J. Cernik—13911123L. Zeman—11118101
WMar 27 · 02:30J. Cernik—111110113L. Zeman—981271
WMar 24 · 09:30J. Cernik—1111113L. Zeman—9990
WNov 17 · 22:30J. Cernik—111311133L. Zeman—13119111
LNov 17 · 20:00J. Cernik—119671L. Zeman—61111113
WNov 15 · 03:30J. Cernik—1111113L. Zeman—5960
WAug 31 · 03:00J. Cernik—1112113L. Zeman—31090
J. Cernik10
WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630WAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek1.401149111J. Cernik2.7561111133WAug 29 · 09:00J. Cernik1.401111123M. Kratochvil2.6579100LAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941WAug 29 · 07:00M. Kratochvil3.008780J. Cernik1.361111113LAug 29 · 06:30J. Cernik2.75611111182J. Zajicek1.40118713113LAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos2.2011101011113J. Cernik1.6091212992WAug 28 · 12:00M. Kratochvil2.385670J. Cernik1.531111113
L. Zeman10
LSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 02:30E. Mares1.80111311113L. Zeman1.91715881WSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123WSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102LSep 1 · 22:00L. Zeman1.577118101M. Huk2.2511711123LAug 16 · 12:00J. Cernik1.3611911113L. Zeman3.00811481WAug 16 · 11:00M. Kratochvil2.10561281L. Zeman1.67111110113WAug 16 · 10:30L. Zeman1.83911611113J. Kanera1.8311911942LAug 15 · 16:59L. Zeman1.5761180M. Kratochvil2.251113113LAug 15 · 16:00E. Mares1.8311916113L. Zeman1.837111491
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