TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12441180
Played Aug 16Finished
Lukas Zeman
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119611119114
Jan Kanera
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Zeman to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Zeman above · Jan Kanera below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 92 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Lukas Zeman at 57.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zeman 5–6 Jan Kanera Lukas Zeman has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kanera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1828 vs Kanera 1692
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 20% vs Kanera 40%
Kanera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 50% vs Kanera 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -2 · Kanera -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanera form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.83 / Kanera 1.83
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Zeman)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12441180
Zeman1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kanera1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman5wins
AwayKanera5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman75%3 of 4
AwayKanera66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman4Kanera6n = 10Kanera took 6 of 10
S2Zeman3Kanera7n = 10Kanera took 7 of 10
S3Zeman3Kanera7n = 10Kanera took 7 of 10
S4Zeman4Kanera2n = 6Zeman took 4 of 6
S5Zeman3Kanera0n = 3Zeman took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanKaneraZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.0−0.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanKaneraBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 514 vs 269 / 57649.6%46.7%255 / 514 vs 269 / 576Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.83/Kanera 1.83
Hit
What we said
61%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 08:58L. Zeman—911912113J. Kanera—118111092
WAug 8 · 08:30L. Zeman—1451111113J. Kanera—16115982
WJan 11 · 12:30L. Zeman—1111113J. Kanera—6840
WAug 21 · 15:30L. Zeman—11711113J. Kanera—711591
LApr 13 · 13:00L. Zeman—13118101J. Kanera—15911123
WApr 13 · 10:00L. Zeman—119811213J. Kanera—711117192
LMar 30 · 13:00L. Zeman—6950J. Kanera—1111113
LMar 30 · 10:00L. Zeman—1181091J. Kanera—71112113
LMar 9 · 11:00L. Zeman—8990J. Kanera—1111113
LMar 6 · 18:30L. Zeman—4980J. Kanera—1111113
L. Zeman10
LSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 02:30E. Mares1.80111311113L. Zeman1.91715881WSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123WSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102LSep 1 · 22:00L. Zeman1.577118101M. Huk2.2511711123LAug 16 · 13:29J. Cernik1.369111011113L. Zeman3.0011912482LAug 16 · 12:00J. Cernik1.3611911113L. Zeman3.00811481WAug 16 · 11:00M. Kratochvil2.10561281L. Zeman1.67111110113LAug 15 · 16:59L. Zeman1.5761180M. Kratochvil2.251113113LAug 15 · 16:00E. Mares1.8311916113L. Zeman1.837111491
J. Kanera10
LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292
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