TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052888
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukas Zeman
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101211610121151210
Jakub Kycelt
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Zeman to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Zeman above · Jakub Kycelt below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 99 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Lukas Zeman at 54.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zeman 14–10 Jakub Kycelt Jakub Kycelt has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:14What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Zeman
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1789 vs Kycelt 1788
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 40% vs Kycelt 60%
Kycelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 30% vs Kycelt 50%
Kycelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -3 · Kycelt +1
Zeman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.73 / Kycelt 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zeman)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052888
Zeman1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 42 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Kycelt2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 52 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman7wins
AwayKycelt3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman57.1%4 of 7
AwayKycelt0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman7Kycelt3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Zeman5Kycelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Zeman8Kycelt2n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S4Zeman4Kycelt4n = 8split evenly
S5Zeman2Kycelt2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanKyceltZ − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.2+3.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanKyceltBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 519 vs 153 / 30649.5%50%257 / 519 vs 153 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.73/Kycelt 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 29 · 19:00L. Zeman—91111113J. Kycelt—115451
WJun 29 · 17:00L. Zeman—12411143J. Kycelt—10118121
LJun 29 · 15:00L. Zeman—118931J. Kycelt—71111113
WMay 14 · 07:00L. Zeman—1211113J. Kycelt—10570
LApr 23 · 18:00L. Zeman—119118112J. Kycelt—911711133
WApr 2 · 21:30L. Zeman—11113113J. Kycelt—951171
WApr 2 · 19:00L. Zeman—671111113J. Kycelt—11119972
LMar 12 · 23:00L. Zeman—11811972J. Kycelt—811611113
WMar 11 · 17:00L. Zeman—1111113J. Kycelt—5490
WFeb 20 · 08:00L. Zeman—7121111113J. Kycelt—111081372
L. Zeman10
LSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 02:30E. Mares1.80111311113L. Zeman1.91715881WSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123LSep 1 · 22:00L. Zeman1.577118101M. Huk2.2511711123LAug 16 · 13:29J. Cernik1.369111011113L. Zeman3.0011912482LAug 16 · 12:00J. Cernik1.3611911113L. Zeman3.00811481WAug 16 · 11:00M. Kratochvil2.10561281L. Zeman1.67111110113WAug 16 · 10:30L. Zeman1.83911611113J. Kanera1.8311911942LAug 15 · 16:59L. Zeman1.5761180M. Kratochvil2.251113113LAug 15 · 16:00E. Mares1.8311916113L. Zeman1.837111491
J. Kycelt10
LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Kycelt1.531111113M. Huk2.388780WSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 01:30J. Kycelt2.63913691E. Mares1.44111111113LSep 2 · 24:30M. Huk2.5011612113J. Kycelt1.508111081WSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191LSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113
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