TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12439606
Played Aug 16Finished
Michal Kratochvil
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5116111210811––
Lukas Zeman
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Zeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Kratochvil above · Lukas Zeman below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Zeman at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kratochvil 1–3 Lukas Zeman Michal Kratochvil has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Zeman
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1828 vs Zeman 1834
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 40% vs Zeman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 40% vs Zeman 60%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil -2 · Zeman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 2.10 / Zeman 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Zeman)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12439606
Kratochvil2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 93 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back31% 36 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 60
Zeman1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 50 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKratochvil1wins
AwayZeman3wins
Zeman leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochviln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZeman100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil1Zeman3n = 4Zeman took 3 of 4
S2Kratochvil3Zeman1n = 4Kratochvil took 3 of 4
S3Kratochvil2Zeman2n = 4split evenly
S4Kratochvil0Zeman3n = 3Zeman took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKratochvilZemanK − ZBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match31.534.2−2.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 550 vs 256 / 51549.3%49.7%271 / 550 vs 256 / 515Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanKratochvil 2.10/Zeman 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 15 · 01:30M. Kratochvil—812481L. Zeman—111011113
LJun 6 · 12:00M. Kratochvil—811991L. Zeman—11811113
LMay 9 · 16:30M. Kratochvil—561121L. Zeman—11117113
WMay 9 · 10:30M. Kratochvil—1111113L. Zeman—4360
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113WSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 08:58M. Kratochvil3.00101111782E. Mares1.36125911113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kratochvil3.00611718113E. Mares1.36119111662
L. Zeman10
LSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 02:30E. Mares1.80111311113L. Zeman1.91715881WSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123WSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102LSep 1 · 22:00L. Zeman1.577118101M. Huk2.2511711123LAug 16 · 13:29J. Cernik1.369111011113L. Zeman3.0011912482LAug 16 · 12:00J. Cernik1.3611911113L. Zeman3.00811481WAug 16 · 10:30L. Zeman1.83911611113J. Kanera1.8311911942LAug 15 · 16:59L. Zeman1.5761180M. Kratochvil2.251113113LAug 15 · 16:00E. Mares1.8311916113L. Zeman1.837111491
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