TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13072814
Played Sep 3Finished
Vitezslav Burdik
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1197119111012––
Michal Kratochvil
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:08 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Kratochvil to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitezslav Burdik above · Michal Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Michal Kratochvil at 59.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Burdik 0–1 Michal Kratochvil Vitezslav Burdik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:08What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kratochvil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Burdik 1734 vs Kratochvil 1669
Burdik
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burdik 60% vs Kratochvil 0%
Burdik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burdik 50% vs Kratochvil 20%
Burdik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burdik +1 · Kratochvil -5
Kratochvil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kratochvil) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurdik 2.20 / Kratochvil 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kratochvil)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13072814
Burdik2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Kratochvil1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite50% won 65 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 42 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBurdik0wins
AwayKratochvil1wins
Kratochvil leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBurdikKratochvilB − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.044.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurdikKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 187 vs 273 / 57150.8%47.8%95 / 187 vs 273 / 571Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilBurdik 2.20/Kratochvil 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 8 · 14:00V. Burdik—10101131M. Kratochvil—12129113
V. Burdik10
WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571WSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101LSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272WAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113LAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:30V. Burdik2.5064100M. Grundel1.501111123
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 08:58M. Kratochvil3.00101111782E. Mares1.36125911113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kratochvil3.00611718113E. Mares1.36119111662LAug 30 · 07:30T. Kos1.441111113M. Kratochvil2.638860
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