TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13053066
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitezslav Burdik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181151210––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:57 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitezslav Burdik above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 54.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Burdik 4–9 Radim Urbaniec Vitezslav Burdik has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Urbaniec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Urbaniec
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burdik 1720 vs Urbaniec 1708
Burdik
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burdik 40% vs Urbaniec 60%
Urbaniec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burdik 40% vs Urbaniec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burdik -1 · Urbaniec +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Urbaniec)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurdik 2.00 / Urbaniec 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Urbaniec)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13053066
Burdik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Urbaniec1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 195 of 314
Up 2–0, closes it92% 97 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it77% 132 of 172
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurdik3wins
AwayUrbaniec7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurdik60%3 of 5
AwayUrbaniec100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burdik5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S2Burdik4Urbaniec6n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S3Burdik5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S4Burdik1Urbaniec6n = 7Urbaniec took 6 of 7
S5Burdik2Urbaniec3n = 5Urbaniec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurdikUrbaniecB − UBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.441.4−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurdikUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 183 vs 603 / 118150.3%51.1%92 / 183 vs 603 / 1181Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecBurdik 2.00/Urbaniec 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Burdik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 14:00V. Burdik—121179113R. Urbaniec—108111192
LJun 25 · 19:00V. Burdik—2650R. Urbaniec—1111113
LJun 23 · 21:30V. Burdik—1091171R. Urbaniec—12115113
WJun 23 · 20:30V. Burdik—1310116113R. Urbaniec—111281192
LMay 19 · 20:00V. Burdik—113491R. Urbaniec—31111113
LMay 5 · 19:00V. Burdik—711813102R. Urbaniec—1111111123
LApr 21 · 18:30V. Burdik—15611692R. Urbaniec—1311611113
LApr 3 · 09:00V. Burdik—1011115102R. Urbaniec—127611123
LApr 3 · 06:00V. Burdik—99110R. Urbaniec—1111133
WMar 16 · 20:30V. Burdik—1112113R. Urbaniec—81070
V. Burdik10
WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571LSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272WAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113LAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:30V. Burdik2.5064100M. Grundel1.501111123
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192
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