TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065102
Played Sep 3Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911117118––
Michal Wollny
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Wollny to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Michal Wollny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Wollny at 62.4%
77 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 4–8 Michal Wollny Radim Urbaniec has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Wollny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Wollny
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1664 vs Wollny 1792
Wollny
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 40% vs Wollny 80%
Wollny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 40% vs Wollny 60%
Wollny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Wollny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Wollny) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wollny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.63 / Wollny 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Wollny)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065102
Urbaniec2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 469
Down 0–1, comes back21% 55 of 265
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 144
Wollny1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 29 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec4wins
AwayWollny6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderWollny leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec100%4 of 4
AwayWollny100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec4Wollny6n = 10Wollny took 6 of 10
S2Urbaniec3Wollny7n = 10Wollny took 7 of 10
S3Urbaniec8Wollny2n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S4Urbaniec4Wollny5n = 9Wollny took 5 of 9
S5Urbaniec2Wollny3n = 5Wollny took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecWollnyU − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.142.3−2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecWollnyBasisWin rate · lifetime608 / 1194 vs 125 / 23550.9%53.2%608 / 1194 vs 125 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WollnyUrbaniec 2.63/Wollny 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Wollny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec—11911113M. Wollny—911781
LSep 1 · 20:00R. Urbaniec—941171M. Wollny—11118113
LJun 25 · 21:30R. Urbaniec—69111182M. Wollny—111159113
LJun 25 · 18:00R. Urbaniec—710121142M. Wollny—1112107113
WJun 23 · 18:30R. Urbaniec—1111113M. Wollny—9950
LMay 20 · 15:30R. Urbaniec—611541M. Wollny—11811113
WApr 29 · 17:00R. Urbaniec—115914113M. Wollny—811111272
WApr 29 · 14:00R. Urbaniec—1312116113M. Wollny—111491192
LApr 23 · 14:00R. Urbaniec—1061161M. Wollny—12114113
LJan 10 · 21:00R. Urbaniec—81111862M. Wollny—118311113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192LSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412
M. Wollny10
LSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113WSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:00M. Wollny1.6111118113R. Urbaniec2.20941171WSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113WSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272LAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113WAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:00M. Wollny1.7341161192L. Velebil2.00118118113
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