TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051952
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukas Kern
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511911811––
Michal Wollny
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:36 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Kern to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Kern above · Michal Wollny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Kern at 57.2%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:36What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Wollny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kern 1622 vs Wollny 1771
Wollny
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kern 0% vs Wollny 40%
Wollny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kern 30% vs Wollny 50%
Wollny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kern -5 · Wollny +1
Kern
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Wollny) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wollny form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKern 2.50 / Wollny 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Wollny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051952
Kern2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 41 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Wollny1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 25 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKernWollnyBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 243 vs 122 / 23052.7%53%128 / 243 vs 122 / 230Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WollnyKern 2.50/Wollny 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Wollny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wollny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Kern10
WSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113WSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113LSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113WSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192WSep 1 · 20:58R. Urbaniec1.4482100L. Kern2.631111123LSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571
M. Wollny10
LSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113LSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781LSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113WSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:00M. Wollny1.6111118113R. Urbaniec2.20941171WSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272LAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113WAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:00M. Wollny1.7341161192L. Velebil2.00118118113
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