TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071492
Played Sep 4Finished
Lukas Kern
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113711911––––
Roman Hudeczek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeLukas Kern to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Kern above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Kern at 55.1%
62 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kern 9–14 Roman Hudeczek Lukas Kern has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:48What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kern
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Hudeczek
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kern 1560 vs Hudeczek 1686
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kern 60% vs Hudeczek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kern 30% vs Hudeczek 60%
Hudeczek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kern -1 · Hudeczek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kern) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKern 1.73 / Hudeczek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kern)+0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071492
Kern1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Hudeczek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 60 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back34% 24 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back22% 8 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKern4wins
AwayHudeczek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHudeczek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKern60%3 of 5
AwayHudeczek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kern5Hudeczek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kern3Hudeczek7n = 10Hudeczek took 7 of 10
S3Kern6Hudeczek4n = 10Kern took 6 of 10
S4Kern4Hudeczek4n = 8split evenly
S5Kern1Hudeczek2n = 3Hudeczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKernHudeczekK − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.90.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKernHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 252 vs 164 / 33752.4%48.7%132 / 252 vs 164 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KernKern 1.73/Hudeczek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Kern · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern—11790R. Hudeczek—1311113
LSep 4 · 15:30L. Kern—1011731R. Hudeczek—12911113
WAug 26 · 21:00L. Kern—1261111123R. Hudeczek—141188102
LAug 26 · 20:00L. Kern—771191R. Hudeczek—11114113
WAug 16 · 12:00L. Kern—1111123R. Hudeczek—86100
LJul 29 · 15:00L. Kern—1181551R. Hudeczek—61117113
LJul 24 · 18:30L. Kern—991111132R. Hudeczek—111137153
LJul 24 · 17:30L. Kern—11614662R. Hudeczek—8111211113
WJul 24 · 14:00L. Kern—11711113R. Hudeczek—911291
WJun 30 · 20:30L. Kern—111410113R. Hudeczek—5121241
L. Kern10
WSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113WSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113WSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192WSep 1 · 20:58R. Urbaniec1.4482100L. Kern2.631111123LSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571LSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891WSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101LSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113LSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660LSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113LSep 2 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.807101191M. Chalupa1.9111129113
Upcoming Matches
L. Kern
Nothing scheduled
R. Hudeczek
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