TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13060852
Played Sep 1Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8112111012––––
Lukas Kern
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Lukas Kern below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12
54 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 5–0 Lukas Kern Lukas Kern has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Urbaniec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kern form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.44 / Kern 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Urbaniec)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13060852
Urbaniec1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 195 of 314
Up 2–0, closes it92% 97 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it77% 132 of 172
Kern2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 41 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeUrbaniec5wins
AwayKern0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec100%4 of 4
AwayKernn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec4Kern1n = 5Urbaniec took 4 of 5
S2Urbaniec4Kern1n = 5Urbaniec took 4 of 5
S3Urbaniec3Kern2n = 5Urbaniec took 3 of 5
S4Urbaniec3Kern0n = 3Urbaniec took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricUrbaniecKernU − KBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match40.431.0+9.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecKernBasisWin rate · lifetime603 / 1183 vs 128 / 24551%52.2%603 / 1183 vs 128 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.44/Kern 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kern won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 1 · 17:00R. Urbaniec—1111113L. Kern—6570
WSep 1 · 14:00R. Urbaniec—151111113L. Kern—174321
WJul 30 · 19:00R. Urbaniec—1111113L. Kern—8870
WJul 29 · 21:05R. Urbaniec—15114113L. Kern—1391171
WJul 29 · 20:00R. Urbaniec—118611113L. Kern—81111992
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192
L. Kern10
WSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113WSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113LSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113WSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192LSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571LSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113
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