TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065521
Played Sep 3Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611611––––
Matej Grundel
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeMatej Grundel to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Matej Grundel below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 48 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Matej Grundel at 70.7%
48 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 3–12 Matej Grundel Radim Urbaniec has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Grundel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-12 in 15
Grundel
Correct
gap of 9 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1662 vs Grundel 1856
Grundel
Correct
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 40% vs Grundel 80%
Grundel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 40% vs Grundel 70%
Grundel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -1 · Grundel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Grundel) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 3.25 / Grundel 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Grundel)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065521
Urbaniec3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 469
Down 0–1, comes back21% 55 of 265
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 144
Grundel1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 69 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it75% 49 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec2wins
AwayGrundel8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGrundel leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniecn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGrundel100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec2Grundel8n = 10Grundel took 8 of 10
S2Urbaniec4Grundel6n = 10Grundel took 6 of 10
S3Urbaniec3Grundel7n = 10Grundel took 7 of 10
S4Urbaniec1Grundel4n = 5Grundel took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecGrundelU − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.736.5−5.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecGrundelBasisWin rate · lifetime605 / 1189 vs 161 / 30550.9%52.8%605 / 1189 vs 161 / 305Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrundelUrbaniec 3.25/Grundel 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Grundel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grundel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 17:28R. Urbaniec—1111103M. Grundel—5840
LJul 30 · 16:30R. Urbaniec—691181M. Grundel—11116113
LJun 29 · 15:00R. Urbaniec—9580M. Grundel—1111113
LJun 28 · 08:58R. Urbaniec—61181182M. Grundel—116118113
LJun 28 · 07:30R. Urbaniec—611851M. Grundel—11911113
LMay 3 · 13:30R. Urbaniec—4790M. Grundel—1111113
WMay 3 · 12:30R. Urbaniec—115115113M. Grundel—61181162
LApr 23 · 15:00R. Urbaniec—11390M. Grundel—1311113
LApr 1 · 15:00R. Urbaniec—111270M. Grundel—1314113
LMar 15 · 17:00R. Urbaniec—911451M. Grundel—11611113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192LSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412
M. Grundel10
LSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191LSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160WAug 27 · 17:28M. Grundel1.831111109113L. Prikasky1.8382121192LAug 27 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.83119811113M. Grundel1.8361111882WAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113WAug 27 · 14:30M. Grundel2.001111113L. Velebil1.737750WAug 26 · 17:03M. Grundel1.771011812113L. Prikasky1.95127111072WAug 26 · 16:59M. Grundel1.911011812113P. Libor1.80127111072WAug 26 · 16:30M. Grundel1.80113111113M. Navedla1.9161161192
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