TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13072626
Played Sep 3Finished
Martin Skotnica
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210119411119––
Matej Grundel
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Skotnica above · Matej Grundel below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9
77 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skotnica 19–11 Matej Grundel Matej Grundel has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Skotnica)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grundel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotnica 1.61 / Grundel 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Skotnica)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13072626
Skotnica1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 40 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it70% 32 of 46
Grundel2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 31 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotnica5wins
AwayGrundel5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotnica75%3 of 4
AwayGrundel66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotnica4Grundel6n = 10Grundel took 6 of 10
S2Skotnica5Grundel5n = 10split evenly
S3Skotnica6Grundel4n = 10Skotnica took 6 of 10
S4Skotnica3Grundel4n = 7Grundel took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicaGrundelS − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.637.5−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicaGrundelBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 214 vs 162 / 30754.7%52.8%117 / 214 vs 162 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicaSkotnica 1.61/Grundel 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Skotnica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skotnica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 16:00M. Skotnica—1011119113M. Grundel—12871192
WAug 13 · 17:30M. Skotnica—1111113M. Grundel—9790
WAug 13 · 14:00M. Skotnica—11713113M. Grundel—7111121
LAug 5 · 15:00M. Skotnica—10111091M. Grundel—12612113
LJul 30 · 14:00M. Skotnica—811971M. Grundel—11511113
LJul 8 · 17:30M. Skotnica—7660M. Grundel—1111113
LJul 8 · 16:30M. Skotnica—13211882M. Grundel—1111911113
WJun 29 · 17:30M. Skotnica—61111113M. Grundel—119991
WJun 29 · 14:30M. Skotnica—11811113M. Grundel—611891
LJun 24 · 15:00M. Skotnica—41180M. Grundel—1113113
M. Skotnica10
LSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120WSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.83111182113D. Tomica1.8363111142WSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:00L. Velebil1.838101191M. Skotnica1.8311129113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WAug 13 · 17:30M. Skotnica1.631111113M. Grundel2.059790LAug 13 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.83511114102D. Tomica1.83117911123WAug 13 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.00711871M. Skotnica1.7311411113
M. Grundel10
LSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113WSep 3 · 14:00M. Grundel1.831113113L. Velebil1.8371160WAug 27 · 17:28M. Grundel1.831111109113L. Prikasky1.8382121192LAug 27 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.83119811113M. Grundel1.8361111882WAug 27 · 15:00D. Tomica2.257450M. Grundel1.571111113WAug 27 · 14:30M. Grundel2.001111113L. Velebil1.737750WAug 26 · 17:03M. Grundel1.771011812113L. Prikasky1.95127111072WAug 26 · 16:59M. Grundel1.911011812113P. Libor1.80127111072LAug 13 · 17:30M. Skotnica1.631111113M. Grundel2.059790
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